Swissquote (in English)
Swissquote (in English)
  • Видео 1 175
  • Просмотров 2 738 384
The data that could tip the Fed’s hand. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Risk appetite got another hit yesterday after the US ADP report printed a weaker-than-expected number and revived the worries that the US official jobs data could also disappoint for the second month in a row.
Many investors believe that today’s job figures could be pivotal in determining whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its meeting later this month. Why this data is so important? Above all, it is because the Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that a further weakness in the jobs market is undesired. That’s obviously a good reason for investors to put a lot of weight on the jobs data.
But from a theoretical perspective, this month’s jobs data is especially significant as...
Просмотров: 400

Видео

A strange familiarity with last month meltdown? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 4234 часа назад
US equities remained under pressure yesterday after the JOLTS report revealed that the US job openings unexpectedly fell further in July to the lowest level since 2021. The US yields, the dollar and most major equity indices fell. On the other hand, the USDJPY dropped to the lowest levels since the beginning of August as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda added more fuel to fire saying that ...
US data watch: bad news is bad news | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 5007 часов назад
September began on an ugly note, to say the least. The bonds gained and US equities tumbled after the latest ISM data showed a fifth month of contraction in the US manufacturing, and at accelerated pace. The latter revived the recession worries ahead of this week’s critical US jobs data, and sent the S&P500 more than 2% down. This was the worst selloff since August 5, when a weak jobs data from...
Volkswagen plans factory closures in struggling Germany | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 4819 часов назад
The new week started with caution. The US and Canada were off, and news from Europe weren’t exceptional. The data released on Monday showed that the manufacturing PMI figures for August were slightly higher than expected, but numbers in major Eurozone countries remained below 50, in the contraction zone for another month. Volkswagen announced unprecedented factory closures in Germany. But the E...
And September arrives! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 43012 часов назад
August ended on a positive note. Friday’s data showed that the US PCE and the core PCE index stagnated near the levels printed a month earlier instead of a small uptick. Most US and European indices ended August at, or near record high levels, as tech-heavy Nasdaq underperformed. This week, attention shifts to the all-important US jobs data this week - the last one before the Fed is due to star...
Robust US growth boosts reflation trade | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 49819 часов назад
Yesterday was could’ve been worse. A more than 6% drop in Nvidia somehow limited the S&P500 gains, but many stocks in the S&P500 gained yesterday after the latest GDP update came in better than expected and pointed that the US economy has grown 3% in the Q2 versus 2.8% printed earlier, while core prices eased more than expected. The US dollar rebounded, and growth, reflation friendly stocks did...
Next steps for Bitcoin? | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Просмотров 12121 час назад
What are Bitcoin's next steps? Will see a more positive September? 00:00 Intro 00:22 Preview 00:48 Bitcoin 03:41 Ethereum 07:22 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: swq.ch/wr Discover our brand and philosophy: swq.ch/wq Learn mor...
When fantastic is not enough… | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 41821 час назад
Nvidia generated a record $30bn in sales in Q2 - up by 122%, the profits surged 166% to $16.6bn, the company said that they expect to sell $32.5bn in the current quarter (more than $31.9bn expected by analysts) and announced a $50bn share buyback program. It could hardly do better. But investors focused on Blackwell delay & rising competition. Elsewhere, Super Micro Computer dived another 20% y...
Happy Nvidia Day! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 9 тыс.День назад
The markets were calm yesterday, the European stocks extended gains, while the S&P500 and Nasdaq consolidated a bit lower than their ATH levels. A $69bn sale of US 2-year debt went well, the US 2-year yield extended losses and the US dollar rebounded from the lowest levels of the year. Crude oil, which rallied to its 200-DMA on mounting tensions in Middle East and Libya, failed to break offers ...
Crude jumps on tensions in Middle East, Libya | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 371День назад
The week started on mixed feelings. The rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and between the West and China, and a pullback across the big technology stocks casted shadow on the optimism that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is about to start cutting the interest rates in September. The US yields and the dollar rebounded on Monday. Big Tech fell, other sectors rose. Crude oil jumped on the...
Powell gives the all-clear. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 452День назад
‘The time has come for policy to adjust, and the direction of the travel is clear’ said Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell at his Jackson Hole speech on Friday and kept the door open for large cut bets. US yields and the dollar softened, equities rallied. All eyes are on the US GDP update and the core PCE data, before next week’s all-important jobs report. Elsewhere, the Eurozone countri...
Time for the Fed doves to come back on earth? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 44914 дней назад
US stock markets sold off yesterday, as investors trimmed their long positions walking into Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech due later today - where he is expected to douse the jumbo rate cut expectations. US yields and the dollar rebounded, equities fell. There is more room for correction as the swap markets still price in 95bp cut from the Fed, and this pricing ...
Solana ETF removed from website? | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Просмотров 16714 дней назад
Is the Solana ETF gone for good or just removed from the CBOE website? 00:00 Intro 00:22 Preview 00:47 Bitcoin 04:00 Ethereum 06:01 Solana 08:20 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote Learn the fundamentals of trading at your own pace with Swissquote's Education Center. Discover our online courses, webinars and eBooks: swq.ch/wr Discover our brand and philosophy: sw...
USD fell but stocks gained on big revision to US payrolls | MarketTalk: What’s up today?| Swissquote
Просмотров 5 тыс.14 дней назад
The combination of dovish Fed minutes and the big downside revision to the annual payrolls number (-818K jobs!!) sent the US yields lower and the dollar lower yesterday. Gold consolidated near the $2500 per ounce as the risk on environment directed capital toward the stocks rather than the safe haven gold, while crude oil extended losses to the lowest levels since August despite a 4.6-mio barre...
USD is oversold, the majors and gold are overbought! | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 68914 дней назад
There was no major news on the wire to trigger the minor selloff in global equities, so it was nothing else than a correction after a long rally following an ugly meltdown. The US dollar index took another dive, however, and hit the lowest levels since the beginning of January. The EURUSD spiked past the 1.11 level, Cable jumped past the 1.30 psychological mark. Even a dovish statement from the...
3a Easy: 3a Pillar Plan for Saving or Investments | Swissquote
Просмотров 12314 дней назад
3a Easy: 3a Pillar Plan for Saving or Investments | Swissquote
Did you know that UK grew more than major peers in H1? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 36614 дней назад
Did you know that UK grew more than major peers in H1? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Net yen bets turn positive for the first time in years | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 50014 дней назад
Net yen bets turn positive for the first time in years | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Back to soft-landing dreaming. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 42721 день назад
Back to soft-landing dreaming. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Data backs Fed rate cut but 50bp bets are overdone. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 40121 день назад
Data backs Fed rate cut but 50bp bets are overdone. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Ethereum is coming back! | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Просмотров 16121 день назад
Ethereum is coming back! | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Press Conference Results for H1-2024 | Swissquote
Просмотров 17121 день назад
Press Conference Results for H1-2024 | Swissquote
Crypto Crisis - is the worst over? | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Просмотров 496Месяц назад
Crypto Crisis - is the worst over? | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Trump for Bitcoin | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
Просмотров 209Месяц назад
Trump for Bitcoin | Crypto Talk | Swissquote
BoJ hikes, Microsoft disappoints & Fed decides | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 16 тыс.Месяц назад
BoJ hikes, Microsoft disappoints & Fed decides | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Oil falls. OPEC, rate decisions & earnings in focus | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 496Месяц назад
Oil falls. OPEC, rate decisions & earnings in focus | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Big Week with central bank, OPEC decisions & earnings | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 7 тыс.Месяц назад
Big Week with central bank, OPEC decisions & earnings | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Rotation vibes don’t help European stocks as earnings miss| MarketTalk: What’s up today?| Swissquote
Просмотров 460Месяц назад
Rotation vibes don’t help European stocks as earnings miss| MarketTalk: What’s up today?| Swissquote
Upside down: Big Tech down, US curve steeper & JPY up | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 476Месяц назад
Upside down: Big Tech down, US curve steeper & JPY up | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Tesla, Google failed to impress. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote
Просмотров 359Месяц назад
Tesla, Google failed to impress. | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote

Комментарии

  • @efrenmariscal
    @efrenmariscal День назад

    Thanks Ipek, waiting for Data Jobs, Nice weekend ¡¡

  • @gregstewart8281
    @gregstewart8281 День назад

    Thanks for your report. Personally, I'm buying the dips and my favorite stocks

  • @mugichapanman
    @mugichapanman День назад

    Thanks so much. Have a nice weekend.

  • @grahamreddel5682
    @grahamreddel5682 День назад

    I lost my nerve this morning and sold 80% of my portfolio. So I’ve locked in a very healthy capital gain. As my old Dad used to say, you can’t lose making a profit. When Mr Buffet starts buying again I’ll come back out of the bunker.

    • @grahamreddel5682
      @grahamreddel5682 День назад

      PS last week Berkshire Hathaway had a massive 299 Billion in cash, waiting for the inevitable market correction. As Warren says, you don’t run out of the Store during a fire sale 😄

  • @roddscherw
    @roddscherw День назад

    Thank you very much for your thoughts. Appreciated very much

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 День назад

    Hi Ipek and thank you, 1. the oil price should have nudged the Fed last month to cut then?? 2. And wouldnt the Fed be aware of Sahm's Rule and therefore be ahed of the curve in cutting rates So why are they so slow to act? If they cut and there was a contra effect, they could cut again or would that be too undermining of confidence?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 День назад

      The problem is, they don’t want to cut before being sure that inflation is under control … because if they cut prematurely, they should hike again, and that would be bad for confidence. Therefore, the timing to start cutting is so crucial. And this is also why I think they’d rather start by 25bp - unless crisis. Because rectifying with another cut is simpler than rectifying with a hike.

  • @user-mz9il9ry9d
    @user-mz9il9ry9d День назад

    Let’s hope gold sells and the dollar rebounds

    • @cris471
      @cris471 День назад

      No way ! I pray for the opposite to happen 😂

    • @grahamreddel5682
      @grahamreddel5682 День назад

      @@user-mz9il9ry9d China is sitting on a huge amount of US dollars. The US is slowly degenerating. China sees a big drop in the value of the US dollar over time because tax revenues won’t be enough to meet interest payments on the ever increasing national Debt. Long term the US is screwed because governments just keep printing money. China is using its USD to buy gold. Hence the gold price is so bulletproof.

  • @safinmarattt
    @safinmarattt День назад

    Hello Swiss

  • @Switch_Styles
    @Switch_Styles 2 дня назад

    Ipek, people who that believe there is no recession… are disconnected from reality or just do not live here in the states. The data doesn’t match what I see in the states just by going out and looking around.

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 2 дня назад

      No doubt. It’s the case everywhere I guess. I assure you that inflation in Switzerland is not 1% when you have 20-40% increase for your mandatory health insurance (one of the biggest charges of the year) but is not taken into account when calculating the cpi 😅 but we only have this in hand to work with unfortunately…

  • @samthedoor
    @samthedoor 2 дня назад

    You're right, there isn't a whole lot of evidence of recession, it seems to be just based on fears. That sounds like a buyable dip to me. Those OPEC fools, of course they shouldn't over supply, are they just figuring this out? 😅 I thought they were smart, but I am disappointed.

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 2 дня назад

      Hahah yes, I was also wondering when on earth they were going to say something for God’s sake 😊😊

    • @samthedoor
      @samthedoor 2 дня назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Or maybe they were just trying to make a bottom in the oil market? Tell everyone we're bringing back tons of oil, load up on investments, then say we're cutting haha

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 2 дня назад

      @@samthedoorI’m not sure they win at this game ://

    • @samthedoor
      @samthedoor 2 дня назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Well they can do well if they keep cutting production but I guess then they have to go with lower revenues. If I were them I'd have my equipment ready to just turn on the taps so that I could keep up with slower developing projects that the US might start, especially if Trump wins.

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 2 дня назад

      @@samthedoorthat was the idea I think, not for a trump win but to let the global dynamics adjust… but…

  • @Aman1012
    @Aman1012 2 дня назад

    We have the same conditions for another Aug sell-off. Lots of fear based flows into treasuries yesterday. Indices did nothing. Huge anticipation for the NFP print now.

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 2 дня назад

    Good evening Ipek, when you mentioned "a flight to safety of the yen" and out of (risk) equities, did you mean globally?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 2 дня назад

      Yes, I was referring to the global equity rout that accompanied the yen appreciation.

  • @efrenmariscal
    @efrenmariscal 3 дня назад

    Thanks Ipek, as allways good analysis ¡¡

  • @grahamreddel5682
    @grahamreddel5682 3 дня назад

    I’m somewhat skeptical. I’m looking forward to heavily revised down numbers AFTER the coming elections. Call me old fashioned 😊

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 3 дня назад

      Lol, everyone has been traumatized by the recent BLS revision, I totally understand :)

  • @samthedoor
    @samthedoor 3 дня назад

    Definitely seems like a lot can happen this week, yet. With a weak JOLTs number, I’m not sure what to expect for Friday. If it’s strong and good for yields, I agree it would be good for oil, too. The Fed hopefully will not only cut 25 bp but signal their plans for future meetings, perhaps a quarter cut every meeting, that would help!

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 3 дня назад

      I think so too. Todays weak jolts data wasn’t bad news per se - as lower job openings is not lost jobs. Let’s see what the data tells. I think good news will be good news for oil, along with OPEC now hesitating to start restoring production (surprise !)

    • @samthedoor
      @samthedoor 3 дня назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 so that tells me that opec made a mistake and it wasn't a contrived strategy to confuse the market. Jeese, that's not good lol

  • @gregstewart8281
    @gregstewart8281 3 дня назад

    Thanks for your report

  • @roddscherw
    @roddscherw 3 дня назад

    Choppy roads with opportunities in near future

  • @Aman1012
    @Aman1012 3 дня назад

    Friday's job figure is the most important number this year.

  • @padamatimypalyadav
    @padamatimypalyadav 3 дня назад

    🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🗂🗂📘📘📘🏖🏖💵💴💴💰💳💳📥📖📖📗📕📕📺📺🎬📽🎞🎞🎥🚤🚤⚖️⚖️✊️☃️☃️🔗🔗🌾🍒🍒🍎🍎🍒🍒🍎✊️✊️✊️✊️✊️🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏✌🏻✌🏻🤘🤘🛣🛣🛣🏞🏞🎁⛴️⛴️⛴️🏹🪐🪐🪐🧮🧮🔥🔥🔥📚📚🚀🚀🚀🤝🤝🤝🤝🤝🤝🤟🤟🤟🤟🤟

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 3 дня назад

    Hi Ipek, hopefully this sell off is another cry wolf scenario

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 3 дня назад

      Hopefully, a good set of figures could stop bleeding quite fast I think …🤞🏻

  • @Amonkey1982
    @Amonkey1982 3 дня назад

    Those videos have a bad color filter. Way too much orange like the workers on the street who like oranges in the winter months where the orange fruits are stacked in a round bowl on a green table when they arrive home and the sun sets slowly and colors the sky orange like an orange.

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 3 дня назад

      Hi, these videos have no filter. You are probably referring to our logo!

  • @DamianMuzvidziwa
    @DamianMuzvidziwa 4 дня назад

    I really appreciate the no-nonsense approach you take to the news and the markets, A lot has changed and that's about it but the truth is that I don't even care much about the bull or bear market anymore because Ashley Anderson gat me covered while I'm doing comfortable. 15k every week and I'm still counting thanks to her❤️

    • @Amanda-cr5iz
      @Amanda-cr5iz 4 дня назад

      How please?? Please help me I really need to gain My losses back

    • @FrederickBrown-bx3tn
      @FrederickBrown-bx3tn 4 дня назад

      I think I'm blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone who is as spectacular as expert Ashley Anderson. Highly recommend 👌

    • @BrandonMyers-u8b
      @BrandonMyers-u8b 4 дня назад

      Same here, I'm blessed only. God knows how much I praise her, £32,000 every week! I now have a good house and can now afford anything and also support my family, and never will I forget to pay my tithes because God has been so faithful to me and my family

    • @rebeccacuban
      @rebeccacuban 4 дня назад

      Yeah! Our government has no idea how people are suffering these days. I feel for people with disabilities not getting the help they deserve. Thank you mrs Ashley Anderson, imagine investing $10,000 and received $52,500

    • @sheikh8923
      @sheikh8923 4 дня назад

      Can't imagine earning €22,000 biweekly, God bless mrs Ashley Anderson God bless America❤️

  • @samthedoor
    @samthedoor 4 дня назад

    What a horrendous day, probably because it’s the first trading day of the new month, and the new month is the worst month of the year. NVidia could be over owned. Oil is terrible, pricing in strong supply. Not looking good!

  • @cris471
    @cris471 4 дня назад

    September traditionally isn’t a good month for financial markets

  • @roddscherw
    @roddscherw 4 дня назад

    The dissonance between european shares and their economic data does not look to become a hit

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 4 дня назад

      It’s interesting because the car sector is under pressure, airlines, luxury, miners… and yet.

  • @jonathanhart8046
    @jonathanhart8046 4 дня назад

    Your'e scaring me about September !!! I fear you may be right...

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 4 дня назад

    Hi Ipek, re the ASX today all miners fell off their perch at 1pm AEDT, any ideas why?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 4 дня назад

      Didn’t come across any particular news ..

    • @johnnycomelately6341
      @johnnycomelately6341 4 дня назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 OK, thank you. It was a significant drop of 1% from the 1 pm prices. the three iron ore miners I have on my watchlist: BHP, RIO, FMG = circa 2% down for the day; and other miners fell but less so. Thank you for looking Ipek.

  • @Aman1012
    @Aman1012 4 дня назад

    The jobs number could really move markets like last month. I wouldn't mind another dip to buy into.

  • @nolopa20
    @nolopa20 4 дня назад

    The electric car ideology issue is killing the German car industry and slowing its economy. Thanks for the video, Ipek, great as usual!

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 4 дня назад

      And Europe walks back on ESG rules instead of motivating companies to build EVs.

    • @spotshortmanipulators4721
      @spotshortmanipulators4721 4 дня назад

      Western Sanctions Against Moscow Have Backfired Mostly On Berlin And Its Industry, Sanctions Are Biting The Wrong Way....

  • @PriyankaYadav-x5z
    @PriyankaYadav-x5z 5 дней назад

    Thanks for this video mam

  • @efrenmariscal
    @efrenmariscal 5 дней назад

    Thanks Ipek, Me too, I do not expect a jumbo cut interest rate. Cheers

  • @eragonecho6101
    @eragonecho6101 5 дней назад

    Lovely commentary , align with fundamentals , seasonal also favor DXY recovery as well.

  • @Aman1012
    @Aman1012 5 дней назад

    Hopefully there isn't an out-sized market reaction to the jobs report like last month.

  • @LindseyPatterson-on9vt
    @LindseyPatterson-on9vt 5 дней назад

    I really appreciate the no-nonsense approach you take to the news and the markets, A lot has changed and that's about it but the truth is that I don't even care much about the bull or bear market anymore because Ashley Anderson gat me covered while I'm doing comfortable. 15k every week and I'm still counting thanks to her❤️

    • @Edwardjoss
      @Edwardjoss 5 дней назад

      How please?? Please help me I really need to gain My losses back

    • @DamianMuzvidziwa
      @DamianMuzvidziwa 5 дней назад

      I think I'm blessed if not I wouldn't have met someone who is as spectacular as expert Ashley Anderson. Highly recommend 👌

    • @GeorgeWilliams-ph1cp
      @GeorgeWilliams-ph1cp 5 дней назад

      Same here, I'm blessed only. God knows how much I praise her, £32,000 every week! I now have a good house and can now afford anything and also support my family, and never will I forget to pay my tithes because God has been so faithful to me and my family

    • @JennyScott-by3rj
      @JennyScott-by3rj 5 дней назад

      Yeah! Our government has no idea how people are suffering these days. I feel for people with disabilities not getting the help they deserve. Thank you mrs Ashley Anderson, imagine investing $10,000 and received $52,500

    • @ChelseaGreen-mz8oy
      @ChelseaGreen-mz8oy 5 дней назад

      Can't imagine earning €22,000 biweekly, God bless mrs Ashley Anderson God bless America❤️

  • @spotshortmanipulators4721
    @spotshortmanipulators4721 5 дней назад

    You Can Expect Whatever You Want As Long As We Depend On American Politics. Europe is Doomed As We Know It.

  • @O1adana
    @O1adana 5 дней назад

    We have Rezession in Europe

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 5 дней назад

      I guess we are at the very edge yes.

    • @O1adana
      @O1adana 5 дней назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 The pmi of industry customers are in a low point (like 2019)

    • @roddscherw
      @roddscherw 5 дней назад

      Do you see any signs of a Carry Trade towards the strong CHF

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 5 дней назад

      Yes, the franc has become increasingly popular for carry trades due to the SNB cuts as the BoJ started normalizing.

  • @AndyWarhol1962
    @AndyWarhol1962 5 дней назад

    Always an outstanding video.

  • @jonathanhart8046
    @jonathanhart8046 5 дней назад

    Hi Ipek, maybe he will see job losses as transient like his brilliant inflation call.Can we really trust the figures with the culture of revisions seemingly baked in now.Its like sitting a very important exam and then going back 3 months later to change your answers ! Cheers

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 5 дней назад

      He is trying to avoid exactly that 😊 Umm, yes the revisions are not great, but it’s a compromise between precision of the figures and the regular releases. Often, the gap is small enough to rely on the data, sometimes it is not. I think that they are still a good proxy of the state of the economy. Image, if we had to wait two-three months to get a number…

    • @jonathanhart8046
      @jonathanhart8046 5 дней назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Yeah I guess you cant have it all. Maybe when AI takes over !! Cheers

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 5 дней назад

    Hi Ipek, Would it not be imprudent to cut rates two or three times in the remainder of this year without time to monitor the result?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 5 дней назад

      It definitely would - especially knowing that inflation hasn’t yet returned to 2% - on the other hand, there is the risk of over tightening the economy. For their defense, it’s not easy …

  • @Hnrcckl
    @Hnrcckl 5 дней назад

    We ve got to be careful with the incoming data in Japan. Any price increase in the oil might escalate a sharp policy change in the cb of Japan. Touch the wood till the end of the 2024.

  • @samthedoor
    @samthedoor 8 дней назад

    Tech looks really sideways to me, as well as the whole market. I have a hard time believing that the money will leave tech and go to small caps, though, to me if tech fails, then the whole market will fail. Oil is terrible today, OPEC committing to higher production, China weak etc. But they must expect much stronger demand or they wouldn't be trying to create low prices with such a threat of large supply. Trump also wants to produce more. I still think oil can bounce back but certainly it's not looking pretty today. Oh well, long weekend soon!

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 7 дней назад

      Well yes that’s the problem, if the money leaves the tech, I am also worried that it won’t stay in the small caps for long, but I think that the scenario makes sense until correction. Where is the long weekend ? I have nothing over here 😊

  • @user-sy7zb3un4d
    @user-sy7zb3un4d 8 дней назад

    As always thanks Ipek and have a nice and ☀️ weekend with your family and friends. Greeting Luc

  • @rolfhu8320
    @rolfhu8320 8 дней назад

    How you can trust the data from the US government? 😮😮😮😮😮

  • @cranberryeater7459
    @cranberryeater7459 8 дней назад

    History repeats. Rotation into defensive and energy sector. But this is only temporary. We are on track for massive corrections

  • @burakdislee
    @burakdislee 8 дней назад

  • @johnnycomelately6341
    @johnnycomelately6341 8 дней назад

    Good evening Ipek (australia time) A question about correlating interest rate movements and PE ratios, is it safe to do so and if so what can we expect the effect to be in the USA now that are on 20:1 and Europe that has already cut rates and are on 16:1 ?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 8 дней назад

      Yes in theory lower rates could boost economic growth and increase earnings hence temper the upside pressure on PE ratios. But if the rate cuts are due to slowing economy we can see the opposite - so the macro environment is important for the interpretation of the correlation between rates and PE ratios

    • @roddscherw
      @roddscherw 8 дней назад

      Thank you for your excellent wrapup and enjoy your weekend

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 8 дней назад

      @@roddscherwthank you ! 🙏🏻 have a lovely one as well 😊😊

    • @johnnycomelately6341
      @johnnycomelately6341 8 дней назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Thank you Ipek

  • @efrenmariscal
    @efrenmariscal 9 дней назад

    Good status report. Thanks Ipek😄

  • @samthedoor
    @samthedoor 9 дней назад

    I'm glad that Nvidia came back up a lot more and CrowdStrike came from deep in the hole and is now up quite well on the day so things have recovered over night. My concern with Nvidia is whether it is over-owned or not. There is no CoT reports for stocks, just futures so it doesn't really tell you the whole story. Short Interest hasn't changed for Nvidia in more than a year so that's not an indicator, either. Those sound like extremely competitive companies if they can output that! Another threat to Nvidia, mind you, Nvidia could probably take them over if it wanted to. Are these publicly traded companies?

    • @ipekozkardeskaya1383
      @ipekozkardeskaya1383 9 дней назад

      Well this is what they say, I need to dive into that to see to what extent it will be a threat. Nvidia could swallow these companies - or others could !

    • @samthedoor
      @samthedoor 9 дней назад

      @@ipekozkardeskaya1383 Yeah, I mean this could be a bit like when smaller EV companies started coming out of nowhere to compete with Tesla, maybe we're sort of at the 2/3 mark in AI but lots of trading left.

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